MLB betting and player props for Saturday 5/4/24

In baseball you have come to the right place if you want a wide range of betting options.

From moneylines to run totals to betting on the first five innings, we’ve got plenty of ways to bet on the long, tough MLB schedule every day. Prospects can vary wildly due to starting pitchers, and a wealth of advanced statistics can let us know whether an individual pitcher, a bullpen or a team will undergo a positive – or negative – regression.

Using numberFire’s projections as a guide, which MLB odds from FanDuel Sportsbook are the most attractive today?

Note: Rules may change within the day after this article is published. All statistics are from FanGraphs and Baseball Savant unless otherwise noted. Check here to make sure you see the latest projections.

MLB Betting

Baltimore Orioles at Cincinnati Reds

Baltimore Orioles Over 4.5 runs (-106)

Despite producing just 16 runs in their last five games, the Baltimore Orioles are due for an offensive breakout with a healthy 5.48 run against Cincinnati’s left-hander Andrew Abbott.

There are several reasons to believe the Orioles can easily reach their projected team total in an exciting offensive environment that ranks fourth in park factors, including Abbott’s declining skills this season (career low: 6, 8% swinging strike rate, 4.68 xFIP) and Baltimore’s elite ability to hit left. -handed pitching (2nd in OPS, Slugging percentage).

With seven right-handed hitters anchoring a well-rounded attack to take advantage of Abbott’s troubling stats in this split (.340 wOBA, 4.89 xFIP), we have the right fit and positive data points to support the O’s elite offense.

Texas Rangers at Kansas City Royals

Texas Rangers Moneyline (-112)

In a matchup between Dane Dunning and Michael Wacha, the defending MLB champions present value as favorites in Kansas City.

On the mound for the Rangers, Dane Dunning can be seen as the better pitcher after showing improved form in his fifth season with a career-best 3.76 xFIP and a K-rate of 28.9%, while Kansas’ Michael Wacha City has profiled itself as league average. poor throughout his career (4.05 xFIP, 4.20 SIERA).

When evaluating several advantages the Rangers use over the Royals, including a higher-rated starter, bullpen (11th vs. 28th in xFIP), and offense (11th vs. 16th in wOBA, 13th vs. 18th in wRC+), there is a great chance to grab some Sklansky. earns with the favorite, especially with a pronounced 7.6% gap between Texas’ 60.4% win probability and their 52.8% implied rate.

Atlanta Braves at Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers over 4.5 runs (-128)

Freddie Freeman records more than 2 bases (+100)

Heading into Saturday night with some inconsistent offensive performances over the past week, the Dodgers have an attractive spot to establish themselves against Atlanta’s third-year starter Bryce Elder.

Through 240.2 career innings, Elder has not been an effective pitcher when unable to keep the ball on the ground (50.7% rate), good for an xFIP of 4.42 and a K-rate of 18.0%, while also showing splits to lefties. bats (5.19 xFIP, 13.9% K rate).

With all signs pointing to a nightmare outing looking at Elder’s key weakness and the matchup against a Los Angeles unit with five lefty hitters, we can take comfort in knowing that the Dodgers are in the right place on Saturday night to boost their team total outdo, while also focusing on Freddie. Freeman’s recent batted ball form in his last 62 at-bats (44% hard hits, 8 extra-base hits) and incoming positive regression (.313 expected average / .274 average).

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The above author is an employee of FanDuel and is not eligible to participate in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting bets on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Following the author’s advice does not guarantee a successful outcome. You must use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports bets.